establish a multi-national anti-piracy operation in Senkaku Islands in response to violent ramming attacks
Turn 1
Decision:
- Leak to media
- Intend to establish a multi-national anti-piracy operation in Senkaku Islands in response to violent ramming attacks.
Intended Effect:
By framing Chinese militia as pirates, this undermines regional legitimacy of china as well as bounding them for justifying their defence of the maritime militia to the international community. Thus it raises the Chinese coast guard aggression cost as well as providing a basis for continued legal interception of maritime militia vessels.
Enabling Argument:
The threat possess low cost to make for the fact that no action is needed from any nation although is a plausible course of action. A piracy narrative seems simpler for nations to support politically with deep historical participation. Japan was able to complete joint training under Operation Ocean Shield as a major NATO ally.
Linking Argument:
China’s policy represents the denial of involvement over presentation of maritime militia operations as fishing, therefore avoiding international scrutiny. By setting up chinese militia as pirates undermines regional legitimacy of china as well as cornering them to defend the militia in-front of the international community.
Turn 2
Decision:
Utilization of evidences as well as experts by global media campaign to allow criticizing maritime media including china’s abuse of international laws and norms.
Intended Effect:
International media utilizes experts as well as evidences to emphasize consistent coercion of multiple nations by China. Different nations respond to criticisms of media through condemning use of fishing vessels for ramming coast guard ships, assuring support for Japan’s right of prosecuting fishermen as well as call on China for respecting Japan’s administration of Senkaku Islands.
Enabling Argument:
Significant volumes of evidence from Chinese activities in East China Sea including South China sea along with various PRC statements rejecting international arbitration as well as multiple independent think tanks focused on the issue offer a lot of content for talking points that can be contributed in the media.
Linking Argument:
Controlling the global media message crowds out counter narratives and uses appeal to authority and evidence to create buy in among public and in turn puts political pressure on other governments to take a stronger stand against Chinese aggression and grey zone tactics and to speak out in support of Japan.
Turn 3
Decision
Negotiate release of pirates on condition China acknowledging Japanese sovereignty and agreeing to merge with Asian regional anti-piracy coalition.
Linking Argument
Sanctions of China are destroying vital sectors of its economy threatening domestic stability. Increased US involvement including global spotlight over coercion as well as militia defining that China has strong pressure to de-escalate and weaker bargaining position. Pressures join with our incentives that allow China to de-escalate whilst raising its political legitimacy.
Intended Effect:
Chinese as well as Japanese officials create public joint statement to announce coalition of combating piracy. The detained crew is extradited by the Japanese back to China and sovereignty acceptances is involved with pact where CCG vessels keeping distance from territorial waters as well as assisting intercept vessels before reaching Senkakus to aid avoid misunderstandings..
Enabling Argument:
Domestic media controlled by the Chinese as well as public support from Japan allowing China to show the agreement as a step of positivity and that it does endorse international law. De-escalation is enabled by agreement through every side. Pacts are undertaken in the past by China with Japan to keep away from continued confrontations.